Tuesday, March 22, 2011

Average Wage Commercial Pilot Canada



remember a couple of months ago I received an email from a blog visitor commented that I was new in this world of gambling and that before opening an account and start risking your money had been reading and educating yourself on all matters relating to sports betting. This is a position that I find it quite reasonable, although I know it is not usual, would be desirable for anyone who decides to start in this world .

I also indicated that his experience was limited as had been raised to start copying tipsters picks of positive numbers and long-term stable. This also seemed like a bad option and I mentioned in my mail response.

After a few weeks it was time to take stock of its first steps and have followed religiously despite the tipsters picks, its not comparable YIELD. This was attracted wide attention and asked me intrigued, as might be possible, if had done exactly what the tipster indicated.

The answer is simple. Disregarding the fact that some imprudence had been committed with the stakes, the key was in the quotas. Bet blindly picks that offer certain pages or tipsters has no meaning if we do not consider the fees and stakes. A pick can go from be a good value, to be a high risk bet, simply because the quota we have found is less than that indicated by the pick. This change in the quota may be caused either because they have come down since the tipster published its selection or because our house has lower fees to the home you usually play the tipster. Regardless of one reason or another the result is always the same.

The mathematical demonstration of this fact is not complicated. Betting

a fixed amount (K) to a fixed (C) the yield can be reduced to calculate: YIELD
= C x% through hits - 1
Playing with numbers, if our tipster star has a shooting percentage of 54% in their events YIELD 1.95 fee will be:

YIELD = 1.95 x 54% - 1 = 5.3%

If we follow blindly their bets, we have of course, the same% of success, 54%, but to our dismay the average share of our picks has been reduced to a poor 1.85. With these numbers:

YIELD = 1.85 x 54% - 1 = -0.1%

Thus, while the star tipster is constantly increasing its bank, we, with the same picks, hits and stakes, we move on the edge of the knife and the tipster slump will push us toward the abyss red.

Therefore, my advice is NO BET if quotas are not identical or superior to that of the picks from tipsters to which we like to follow. is, BET NO BLIND something for the mere fact that a betting guru tells you.

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