Saturday, November 27, 2010

Kates Playground Finger

Making Happy Surebets

Sometimes the Surebets are not as obvious as comparing two installments and must be 'make' oneself. That's what we do today with the semifinals of the Masters Cup being held in London.

All fees are PinnacleSports.

For the second semifinal shares offered are:

  • N. 3,090 Djokovic
  • R. 1,437 Federer
We also have to Novak is the winner of the tournament 7.81 . With this information we will make the surebet as follows:

1. Put 10 units to the tournament winner Djokovic
2. For the semi bet 23 units to 1,437 fee Federer wins

Here are two possibilities:

If Federer wins the semi final benefit will , which won the bet wagered minus 10 units Djokovic as final winner:
Profit = 23 x (1,437 - 1) - 10 = 0.05 pc

If Djokovic wins in the end we will have two other possibilities:

If Djokovic wins the final will benefit of betting on the winner of the tournament, the less you bet on Federer to bet at least another player in the final

Profit = 10 x (7.81 -1) - 23 - 43 = 1.2 pc.

The 43 units, placed them thinking that the other player in the final (Nadal presumably) have a share of 1.8 as winner of the final match .

With so if you win that game would be won our profit on that bet, Djokovic least bet on the winner of the tournament, the less you bet on Federer.

Profit = 43 x (1.8 - 1) -10 -23 = 1.4 pc.

In summary, the surebet will provided that the share of ending that would face Djokovic in the final is higher than 1.73. Confident Nadal it, and seeing that his party share was hovering around the 1.8 group, it probably is. If instead your opponent is Murray, the fee should not be lower to 1.8 either.

'll see if we're lucky. I leave

spreadsheet to whoever would play around with numbers. I do not think I was wrong, but if you detect an error to tell me. Fill

CELLS IN YELLOW ONLY

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